Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe Weather near Saint Cloud

OrangeUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 14 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 21:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 22 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 13 others scored the same.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 4:26PM EDT until March 15 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

An estimated 1,131,575 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates28.3598, -81.1210
Nearest CitySaint Cloud (20 km)
Population Exposed1.1M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-15T20:26:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe-Thunderstorm-Warning_noaa_urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_619f90c44e73079fae5be205dbfc453e

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescOrange, FL; Osceola, FL; Brevard, FL
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 4:26PM EDT until March 15 at 5:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Expires2026-03-15T17:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Melbourne FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.619f90c44e73079fae5be205dbfc453e9e2e5ebb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3f13bbb69a3d9d2a3525a7d3b1d0e4c831294861.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Saint Cloud (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.