This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 21:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 18 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 3:43PM CDT until March 15 at 4:15PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 31, 2026 · score 34 · 20.6 km
- August 1, 2026 · score 58 · 23.1 km
- August 12, 2026 · score 34 · 26.9 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 63 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 63% |
| Coordinates | 37.5035, -91.5863 |
| Nearest City | Rolla (52 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T20:43:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe-Thunderstorm-Warning_noaa_urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_e1588822bff93f47037142439e96572e |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Baxter, AR; Marion, AR; Douglas, MO; Howell, MO; Ozark, MO; Texas, MO; Wright, MO; Douglas, MO; Howell, MO; Oregon, MO; Shannon, MO; Texas, MO; Wright, MO and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 3:43PM CDT until March 15 at 4:15PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T16:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Little Rock AR |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e1588822bff93f47037142439e96572e509a65c0.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c727db293b9d44af4a7524bdb4c1f473c51f45b8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e43559511703494e4294d3ad7c4109dc4fe60be8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.95cc7620ba612466fcec632f4081bfa9666b6fbe.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7993469c5a2e133d21fe4a9afd04bf20af19e65a.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ebdf230b059274598bf22efb7d2aa208a0e4dd46.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | O |
| Iem City | Belgrade |
| Iem County | Washington |
| Iem State | MO |
| Iem Wfo | LSX |
| Iem Remark | Estimated time of damage between 10:30 and 11:30 a.m., concrete statue of cow blown over and a flag post snapped in half near Belgrade. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_O_37.790_-90.840_1773590400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773590400000,"latitude":37.79,"longitude":-90.84}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.