Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Merritt Island

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 13 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 103 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 50 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 10 May 2026. 17 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 11 at 9:05PM EDT until May 11 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

An estimated 347,890 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates28.3417, -80.4249
Nearest CityMerritt Island (26 km)
Population Exposed347.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-12T01:05:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0ad0b80f5bff251fcdd59358edb4ac60

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescSebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 11 at 9:05PM EDT until May 11 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Expires2026-05-11T22:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Melbourne FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0ad0b80f5bff251fcdd59358edb4ac60e349dc89.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.79759127ee5a48f2c549974053e6337b53e0c04c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5169bf06aa9028ef13c25f065702c393fb135dac.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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