Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 52

Severe Weather near Avon Lake

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 9 May 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 14 recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 May 2026 — 8 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 9 at 5:34PM EDT until May 9 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH

An estimated 1,257,964 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 9 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates41.7245, -82.0227
Nearest CityAvon Lake (24 km)
Population Exposed1.3M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-09T21:34:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32d70901ff5798092b9202e9a74cf1e5

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescReno Beach to The Islands OH; Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; The Islands to Vermilion OH; Vermilion to Avon Point OH; Avon Point to Willowick OH; Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY; The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 9 at 5:34PM EDT until May 9 at 6:15PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
Expires2026-05-09T18:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Cleveland OH
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32d70901ff5798092b9202e9a74cf1e5087afac2.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32f58353f92a765f64204fb3a6df58cf17b092d7.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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