Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 48

Severe Weather near Avon Lake

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 9 May 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 8th strongest of the 15 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 May 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 9 at 5:30PM EDT until May 9 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH

An estimated 893,388 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 9 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates41.7259, -82.1407
Nearest CityAvon Lake (26 km)
Population Exposed893.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-09T21:30:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32f58353f92a765f64204fb3a6df58cf

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescThe Islands to Vermilion OH; Vermilion to Avon Point OH; Avon Point to Willowick OH; Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY; The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH; Reno Beach to The Islands OH; Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border; Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 9 at 5:30PM EDT until May 9 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
Expires2026-05-09T19:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Cleveland OH
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.32f58353f92a765f64204fb3a6df58cf17b092d7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d225fb97c494fa2ef16a701005505fd3927c6cc7.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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