Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 22

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 18 May 2026 at 18:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 37 recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026 — 26 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 18 at 12:14PM CDT until May 18 at 1:15PM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI

Nearby, since 10 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 65 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Our confidence65%
Coordinates42.3465, -86.9131
Nearest CityMichigan City (71 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-18T17:14:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3d6a657b622d0c9b9809850089b6bec5

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescLake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; St Joseph to South Haven MI; South Haven to Holland MI; Holland to Grand Haven MI; Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake; Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI; Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI; Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 18 at 12:14PM CDT until May 18 at 1:15PM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
Expires2026-05-18T13:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3d6a657b622d0c9b9809850089b6bec58bda40c2.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.258f049f224d4349caff0c84ae331bfafe6861bb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9c09acd13247425de3828f508e397963a6266548.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude58
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City3 NE Navy Pier
Iem CountyLMZ741
Iem StateIL
Iem WfoLOT
Iem RemarkHarrison-Dever Crib recorded 50 knot wind gust.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_M_41.920_-87.570_1779120840000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779120840000,"latitude":41.92,"longitude":-87.57}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.