Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 18 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 18 May 2026 at 21:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 33 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 8 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 9 May 2026. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 18 at 3:59PM EDT until May 18 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 59 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 59% |
| Coordinates | 44.3825, -83.2132 |
| Nearest City | Bay City (103 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-18T19:59:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.47ca8d65d49d93ee271294bcaadfdbf5 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw Bay; Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI; Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary; Lake Huron from Presque Isle Lt. to Sturgeon Point MI 5NM off shore to US/Canadian border; Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw Bay; Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI; Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach 5NM Off Shore to the US/Canadian border |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued May 18 at 3:59PM EDT until May 18 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI |
| Expires | 2026-05-18T17:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.47ca8d65d49d93ee271294bcaadfdbf52bfbb3a1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b98f0f5c6f9b8ca051c78c10444a1f192e7c5cce.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8dc641cc039726fcd16d58f69ff6f1538fda9e70.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.