Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 22

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 22 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 17 May 2026 at 22:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 23 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 May 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 17 at 5:20PM EDT until May 17 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 69 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Our confidence69%
Coordinates44.3164, -87.0250
Nearest CityManitowoc (57 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-17T21:20:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.63c6e916d983f91a9ced3324a8fde5ce

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescManistee to Point Betsie MI; Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI; Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI; Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 17 at 5:20PM EDT until May 17 at 6:45PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI
Expires2026-05-17T18:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Gaylord MI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.63c6e916d983f91a9ced3324a8fde5ce26eb6761.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.eb4678391e48b0384ec4677587c8ed9f24bc7355.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City1 SW Shoto
Iem CountyManitowoc
Iem StateWI
Iem WfoGRB
Iem Remark3 to 4 trees downed along County Road B.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_44.150_-87.560_1779051360000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779051360000,"latitude":44.15,"longitude":-87.56},{"id":"iem_D_44.150_-87.660_1779051000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779051000000,"latitude":44.15,"longitude":-87.66}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.