Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 16 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 70 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 11 June 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 8th strongest of the 30 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 6 June 2026. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued June 10 at 7:44PM EDT until June 10 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)16 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.59/1
Coordinates45.3261, -85.2629
Nearest CityTraverse City (69 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-06-10T23:44:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9a1b24e14a6576fc6808f4b690acf49c

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-10T23:44:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-11T00:11:11.544Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescNorwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay; Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore; Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI; Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued June 10 at 7:44PM EDT until June 10 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI
Expires2026-06-10T20:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Gaylord MI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9a1b24e14a6576fc6808f4b690acf49cd9003230.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7dfffa1cefe2f762128d8111a629e6ee50dcbc30.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Follow this area

Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.

Want to know when something happens in this area?

Share:XLinkedIn