Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Palm Coast

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 9 May 2026 at 20:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 119 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 9 at 3:50PM EDT until May 9 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

An estimated 256,376 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates29.5266, -81.0855
Nearest CityPalm Coast (13 km)
Population Exposed256.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-09T19:50:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a12a2c1c4747ba38fcef66a3f3c6b9e0

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM; Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 9 at 3:50PM EDT until May 9 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
Expires2026-05-09T16:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Jacksonville FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a12a2c1c4747ba38fcef66a3f3c6b9e08ab7cd73.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0050e4312350fa4431f4c0414f0feb0cb79dbcc7.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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