MediumSevere WeatherCS: 48 · v1

Severe Weather near Sayville

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 31 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 17 March 2026 at 05:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued March 17 at 1:16AM EDT until March 17 at 1:30AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

Urban PEI: 772,423 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 17 March 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.83/1
Coordinates40.5056, -72.8994
Nearest CitySayville (30 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)772.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-17T05:16:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a4480611e8ea18d96cc0500fc9463d53

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-03-17T05:16:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-03-17T05:22:41.240Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescWaters from Sandy Hook NJ to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 to 40 nm; Waters from Manasquan Inlet NJ to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 to 40 nm; Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River; Peconic and Gardiners Bays; South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay; Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm; Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm; Waters from Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY from 20 to 40 NM; Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to 40 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet out 20 to 40 nm
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued March 17 at 1:16AM EDT until March 17 at 1:30AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Expires2026-03-17T01:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Mount Holly NJ
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a4480611e8ea18d96cc0500fc9463d53b2737b00.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9bfc973f7cff8e2b8f4e1617eb32e4b6651ed17e.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude47
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City2 WNW Captree State Par
Iem CountyANZ345
Iem StateNY
Iem WfoOKX
Iem RemarkState Boat Channel XGRS Mesonet.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_M_40.650_-73.300_1773723780000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773723780000,"latitude":40.65,"longitude":-73.3}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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