Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Erie

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 18 July 2026 at 21:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 26 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 5 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 18 at 4:19PM EDT until July 18 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH

An estimated 117,846 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates42.0938, -80.3992
Nearest CityErie (26 km)
Population Exposed117.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-18T20:19:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.af2ae3235581d2484fef4ef2988d7ed6

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescConneaut OH to Ripley NY; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 18 at 4:19PM EDT until July 18 at 5:30PM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
Expires2026-07-18T17:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Cleveland OH
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.af2ae3235581d2484fef4ef2988d7ed6d8fc9cca.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ffbdf00c8f8e93f346e9b3d44ebee350fd77d4f7.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Erie (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.