Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather near Lake Jackson

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 64 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 07:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 10 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 20 at 12:47AM CDT until May 20 at 2:45AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX

An estimated 46,962 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 1 May 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence91%
Coordinates28.8047, -95.4739
Nearest CityLake Jackson (25 km)
Population Exposed47.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-20T05:47:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0e5adeb75bd6ded3ca45d7cea728070

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescMatagorda Bay; Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM; Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM; Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM; Matagorda Bay; Galveston Bay; Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM; Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM; Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 20 at 12:47AM CDT until May 20 at 2:45AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
Expires2026-05-20T02:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Houston/Galveston TX
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0e5adeb75bd6ded3ca45d7cea728070af60474c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.27faf1fe83728d8c321c96fc60829d5ad3869f4a.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude39
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City11 NE Surfside Beach
Iem CountyBrazoria
Iem StateTX
Iem WfoHGX
Iem RemarkMesonet station 093CE 33 San Luis Pass South.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_M_29.140_-95.040_1779252600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779252600000,"latitude":29.14,"longitude":-95.04},{"id":"iem_M_29.060_-95.140_1779254400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779254400000,"latitude":29.06,"longitude":-95.14}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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