This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 18 recorded within 20 km of this point since 20 May 2026 — 11 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 3 at 8:57PM EDT until July 3 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
An estimated 141,303 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 20 May 2026
- July 15, 2026 · score 39 · 9.2 km
- July 5, 2026 · score 43 · 14.7 km
- June 7, 2026 · score 43 · 17.9 km
How we know
Confirmed by 7 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 40.0539, -73.5603 |
| Nearest City | Asbury Park (42 km) |
| Population Exposed | 141.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-04T00:57:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Manasquan Inlet NJ from 20 to 40 NM; Waters from Manasquan Inlet NJ to Little Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 to 60 NM; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 3 at 8:57PM EDT until July 3 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| Expires | 2026-07-03T22:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d81dd089e5fe32ea7f23fd9852bb1471306fbf4c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.91ec687233aa2b6207510713bc4eab4fbdc4cd0c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9261e5a06c17e47fba65ed12f27f84f7cbff9cd7.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | M |
| Iem Magnitude | 67 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 1 ENE Avon-by-the-Sea |
| Iem County | ANZ450 |
| Iem State | NJ |
| Iem Wfo | PHI |
| Iem Remark | Bradley Beach mesonet gusted to 58 kt. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_M_40.640_-73.760_1783124280000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783124280000,"latitude":40.64,"longitude":-73.76},{"id":"iem_D_40.120_-74.050_1783125240000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783125240000,"latitude":40.12,"longitude":-74.05},{"id":"iem_G_40.130_-74.030_1783125600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783125600000,"latitude":40.13,"longitude":-74.03},{"id":"iem_M_40.130_-74.020_1783125600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783125600000,"latitude":40.13,"longitude":-74.02},{"id":"iem_M_40.000_-74.050_1783125780000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783125780000,"latitude":40,"longitude":-74.05},{"id":"iem_M_40.200_-74.000_1783125300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783125300000,"latitude":40.2,"longitude":-74}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Asbury Park (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.