Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 12 June 2026 at 02:20 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 29th strongest of the 68 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 18 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued June 11 at 9:10PM CDT until June 11 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS Chicago IL
Urban PEI: 3,464,457 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 18 May 2026
- July 3, 2026 · score 48 · 5.6 km
- May 18, 2026 · score 52 · 6.7 km
- August 11, 2026 · score 52 · 7.2 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 41.9365, -87.0626 |
| Nearest City | Michigan City (29 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 3.5M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-12T02:10:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d9ed56b3b3972f2a42e98b0f48f67b1c |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-12T02:10:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-06-12T02:12:37.087Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Calumet Harbor IL to Gary IN; Gary to Burns Harbor IN; Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN; Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI; Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI; Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake. |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued June 11 at 9:10PM CDT until June 11 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS Chicago IL |
| Expires | 2026-06-11T21:20:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Chicago IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d9ed56b3b3972f2a42e98b0f48f67b1c0053994b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e9f0bab3e8d3e2d44a3130e0c0bf27f53df6cc72.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6c12a922cac19fdac5666cc0a1022207bf6bd204.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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