Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 48

Severe Weather near Bayshore Gardens

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 10 July 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 27 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 30 June 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 10 at 6:10PM EDT until July 10 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

An estimated 557,236 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates27.3932, -82.6647
Nearest CityBayshore Gardens (8 km)
Population Exposed557.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-10T22:10:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.da7a997f621a17cff41ef661fad5268c

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescTampa Bay waters; Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM; Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 10 at 6:10PM EDT until July 10 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Expires2026-07-10T19:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.da7a997f621a17cff41ef661fad5268c0be0f161.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7961b9683e127b05e2eb98ffa005e1b2566c6f7c.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Bayshore Gardens (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.