Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 128 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 5 April 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 20 at 6:25PM EDT until May 20 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
An estimated 2,584,364 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- August 7, 2026 · score 66 · 2.2 km
- May 20, 2026 · score 52 · 4.1 km
- July 19, 2026 · score 52 · 5.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 79% |
| Coordinates | 40.2067, -74.0779 |
| Nearest City | Asbury Park (6 km) |
| Population Exposed | 2.6M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-20T22:25:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f104cbb888214d698177fd0b9c62733a |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | New York Harbor; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Manasquan Inlet NJ from 20 to 40 NM; Waters from Manasquan Inlet NJ to Little Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM; Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the Mouth of the Connecticut River; Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued May 20 at 6:25PM EDT until May 20 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Upton NY |
| Expires | 2026-05-20T19:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Upton NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f104cbb888214d698177fd0b9c62733a245cf3ef.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0801c509d818908f06ce840657826251d9d0072.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3839fab2878b78e57e0a6974ce2e47447dbc3788.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.48031688f0c4e6a8c287d6c664de9669310c072b.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Asbury Park?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Asbury Park (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.