Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 27 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 20 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued March 15 at 6:53PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

An estimated 197,781 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence77%
Coordinates29.4099, -80.6627
Nearest CityOrmond Beach (41 km)
Population Exposed197.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-15T22:53:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f847e709224bbf9a321b629932378251

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescWaters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM; Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued March 15 at 6:53PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
Expires2026-03-15T20:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Jacksonville FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f847e709224bbf9a321b62993237825100c096b3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20c049217725ee4d1874af7955d80d0b790ad985.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.