Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 68 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 15 km from here.
This alert expired on 1 October 2026 at 19:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 7 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 2 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued October 1 at 2:11PM EDT until October 1 at 3:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Urban PEI: 306,283 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- May 12, 2026 · 2.8 km
- June 21, 2026 · 3.6 km
- July 20, 2026 · 5.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 27.3904, -80.2936 |
| Nearest City | Fort Pierce (8 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 306.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-01T18:11:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.9c78646808aad8c6cd134185eb947ae2cf090c9a.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-10-01T18:11:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-01T16:54:47.515Z. Material modification: 2026-10-01T18:15:47.961Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-10-01T17:32:42.420Z · data_change
Index 41 → 37.
2026-10-01T17:00:27.219Z · data_change
Index 37 → 41.
5 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9c78646808aad8c6cd134185eb947ae2cf090c9a.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm; Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm; Lake Okeechobee; Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm; Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued October 1 at 2:11PM EDT until October 1 at 3:15PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL |
| Expires | 2026-10-01T15:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Melbourne FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9c78646808aad8c6cd134185eb947ae2cf090c9a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ff6d6bc515711eb93337f01008f534e0f356992d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7b5bf9404f881dda304a8b119293d10311c852d4.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | Thunderstorm wind gust |
| Iem LsrCode | G |
| Iem LsrType | TSTM WND GST |
| Iem Magnitude | 39 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 1 SSE Hobe Sound |
| Iem County | Martin |
| Iem State | FL |
| Iem Wfo | MLB |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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