Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe weather in United States

St. Mary'sUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 12 March 2026 at 11:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 138 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued March 12 at 6:11AM EDT until March 12 at 7:45AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC

An estimated 137,507 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates38.3480, -76.4867
Nearest CitySt. Charles (48 km)
Population Exposed137.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-12T10:11:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special-Marine-Warning_noaa_urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_53eee22e4fa9b8a7a4603885554c1ba0

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescTidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD; Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA; Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD; Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD; Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA; Eastern Bay; Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River; Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD; Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued March 12 at 6:11AM EDT until March 12 at 7:45AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Expires2026-03-12T07:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.53eee22e4fa9b8a7a4603885554c1ba0f93a8153.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.90a7b7dd5d72af827c8855a5aef11ae5c64cef84.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.