This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 00:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 34 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — one other scored the same. The last comparable one was on 15 March 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:05PM CDT until March 15 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN
An estimated 27,900 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- March 16, 2026 · score 58 · 2.2 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 22 · 23.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 58 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 88% |
| Coordinates | 35.8982, -90.0430 |
| Nearest City | Paragould (45 km) |
| Population Exposed | 27.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T00:05:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.298fc3017f22a9ba74e8f21b79781483 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Mississippi, AR; Pemiscot, MO; Dyer, TN; Lauderdale, TN; Lee, AR; Phillips, AR; Union, IL and 6 more areas |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:05PM CDT until March 15 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T19:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Memphis TN |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 9 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.298fc3017f22a9ba74e8f21b797814832bd9610a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5af103733fa3c52af789fc41fe4bcb4278aaa4ef.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cdeb9a2a53a01c337f8425b347712648825f73d2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.078b65d9f48ede6277338d1917b9c8004bb6a797.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c3b0d86f010ba2a7fec63e0dbfd9fb236b9353b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.efef6bdad9de0127a2909a5ff062a4132f8535e8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bae6551ef2852793ce2ec0bd25f1bf801eb45062.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.51039ec4a5daa52d4fc2724e01d242c08cd3331b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.766058fa219f0fae431fe28b158f8de65a699bce.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 75 |
| Spc Location | 2 ENE Jonesboro |
| Spc County | Craighead |
| Spc State | AR |
| Spc Comments | (MEG) |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 75 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 2 ENE Jonesboro |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.