Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 63

Severe Weather in United States

BondUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 25 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 23:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 13 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — one other scored the same.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:01PM CDT until March 15 at 6:15PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO

An estimated 78,748 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 7 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)63 / 100
Our confidence87%
Coordinates38.8202, -89.4574
Nearest CityEdwardsville (43 km)
Population Exposed78.7K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Date2026-03-15 — time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4d16ba97c6ca028aca6390bef612ef62

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescSt. Clair, IL; De Witt, IL; Logan, IL; Macon, IL; Clinton, IL; Washington, IL and 3 more areas
HeadlineTornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:01PM CDT until March 15 at 6:15PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO
Expires2026-03-15T18:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS St Louis MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4d16ba97c6ca028aca6390bef612ef62c99aea9d.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ae5f5128b70efcf451239b6db8c30af78ca97f15.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a95a0969ec539eb2cea5c1ed646594b36e9aa84c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4c3dc929e8e0cdf57e656585688c3feb6d233d47.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6011b8c4396caff4d93795e10f41cf20c59e09e1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f0a513ea1996b3e1ee200e311d2fe5ca7b4a3195.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypehail
Spc Speed100
Spc LocationWood River
Spc CountyMadison
Spc StateIL
Spc CommentsQuarter-size hail in Wood River... reported by Madison County SKYWARN. (LSX)
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude1
Iem UnitInch
Iem CityWood River

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.