This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 01:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 4th strongest of the 30 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:46PM CDT until March 15 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
An estimated 41,300 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- June 8, 2026 · score 34 · 7.1 km
- June 26, 2026 · score 63 · 15.6 km
- July 10, 2026 · score 34 · 16.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 58 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 78% |
| Coordinates | 36.9379, -89.0418 |
| Nearest City | Paducah (42 km) |
| Population Exposed | 41.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T00:46:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.50d9163f8b1412dbef9c94fc7ca12a68 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Carlisle, KY; Fulton, KY; Hickman, KY; Mississippi, MO; Alexander, IL; Pulaski, IL; Ballard, KY; Carlisle, KY; McCracken, KY; Mississippi, MO; Alexander, IL; Johnson, IL; Massac, IL; Pulaski, IL; Ballard, KY; McCracken, KY |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:46PM CDT until March 15 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T20:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.50d9163f8b1412dbef9c94fc7ca12a6802244aa8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.39ced4c8bd1cf6d1660f0ead43f0b139ed0c2789.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.df765b3a8f6b71f92b6a33338836bf954c4773e7.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.