This alert expired on 16 July 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 28 recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 May 2026 — 17 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 10 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued July 15 at 6:12PM CDT until July 15 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX
An estimated 1,758,906 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 1 May 2026
- July 15, 2026 · score 76 · 9.3 km
- May 27, 2026 · score 76 · 11.6 km
- May 27, 2026 · score 76 · 12.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 76 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 76 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 29.3550, -98.2040 |
| Nearest City | Converse (22 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.8M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | catastrophic |
| Date | 2026-07-15 — time not reported by the source |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Bexar, TX; Guadalupe, TX; Wilson, TX; Bexar, TX; Wilson, TX |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued July 15 at 6:12PM CDT until July 15 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| Expires | 2026-07-15T19:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.77b9f434cfb13baa75480e049028acf0fac4bf11.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7e884dbbfb2f2e6303bf4438df4fe9711edf688e.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 76/100, near Converse (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.