Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 63

Severe Weather in United States

BreckinridgeUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 03:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 50 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — one other scored the same.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 11:01PM EDT until March 15 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

An estimated 52,065 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)63 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates37.7391, -86.3634
Nearest CityRadcliff (38 km)
Population Exposed52.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-03-16T03:01:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.889488a5bc1f3980d0b95012fa585852

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescButler, KY; Edmonson, KY; Grayson, KY; Hardin, KY; Hart, KY; Ohio, KY; Clark, IN; Orange, IN; Washington, IN; Butler, KY; Edmonson, KY; Grayson, KY; Hart, KY; Logan, KY; Warren, KY
HeadlineTornado Warning issued March 15 at 11:01PM EDT until March 15 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
Expires2026-03-15T23:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Louisville KY
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.889488a5bc1f3980d0b95012fa5858526ce408db.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41ee4af5b4b9f52ee8ae4b89bf24578c5aa7a161.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c7a0876813b2ddfaca71ce00d0e318de60eeabc.001.1"]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.