This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the strongest of the 53 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:15PM CDT until March 15 at 6:45PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
An estimated 71,036 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- March 16, 2026 · score 43 · 18.8 km
- March 15, 2026 · score 43 · 18.8 km
- August 12, 2026 · score 34 · 24.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 63 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 87% |
| Coordinates | 38.2629, -89.5830 |
| Nearest City | Belleville (45 km) |
| Population Exposed | 71.0K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T23:15:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.88e31b0a2a8ed23e24844a5d3da230ae |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Christian, IL; Macon, IL; Moultrie, IL; Shelby, IL; De Witt, IL; Macon, IL; Perry, IL and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:15PM CDT until March 15 at 6:45PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T18:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lincoln IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.88e31b0a2a8ed23e24844a5d3da230ae42a5362c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c40d763a14878dc8dfabc0efb0784e9a6a0f0604.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2558f5da9164901623fe094f22276b53a4d51386.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f840caf9fb555408ba518272380921fc82e6fd7c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a95a0969ec539eb2cea5c1ed646594b36e9aa84c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9ac084940755a8a14859a3773823a1a2be312335.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 60 |
| Spc Location | 2 WNW Collinsville |
| Spc County | Madison |
| Spc State | IL |
| Spc Comments | TV meteorologist noted several gusts over 60 mph in his Storm Runner vehicle. (LSX) |
| Iem TypeSummary | O |
| Iem City | Benton |
| Iem County | Franklin |
| Iem State | IL |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.