Calamity
criticalSevere weatherCalamity Score: 58

Severe weather in United States

MercerUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 21 July 2026 at 23:07 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 44 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026 — 4 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued July 21 at 6:57PM EDT until July 21 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA

An estimated 38,403 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 17 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitycritical
Calamity Score (ours)58 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates41.3490, -80.1000
Nearest CityHermitage (32 km)
Population Exposed38.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-21T22:57:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b939754ffb030d815ffe2ba4322d7900

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescVenango, PA; Mahoning, OH; Trumbull, OH
HeadlineTornado Warning issued July 21 at 6:57PM EDT until July 21 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA
Expires2026-07-21T19:07:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Pittsburgh PA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b939754ffb030d815ffe2ba4322d7900d46e76ad.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f084a62ddf684e312a816cf05b54fb1a72c3c719.001.1"]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.