This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 221 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 March 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 4:41PM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
An estimated 39,403 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 11 March 2026
- August 27, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
- August 8, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | high |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 78% |
| Coordinates | 39.0000, -75.5000 |
| Nearest City | Dover (18 km) |
| Population Exposed | 39.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T20:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c09d5453fa19ac0fadbbf58fdb71e08 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Kent, DE; New Castle, DE; Sussex, DE; Caroline, MD; Kent, MD; Queen Anne's, MD; Talbot, MD; Atlantic, NJ; Burlington, NJ; Camden, NJ; Cape May, NJ; Cumberland, NJ; Gloucester, NJ; Hunterdon, NJ; Mercer, NJ; Middlesex, NJ; Monmouth, NJ; Morris, NJ; Ocean, NJ; Salem, NJ; Somerset, NJ; Bucks, PA; Delaware, PA; Montgomery, PA; Philadelphia, PA |
| Headline | Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 4:41PM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T19:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Mount Holly NJ |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c09d5453fa19ac0fadbbf58fdb71e08a8a896b0.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c09d5453fa19ac0fadbbf58fdb71e08a8a896b0.002.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Dover?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100, near Dover (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.