HighSevere WeatherCS: 55 · v1

Severe Weather near Asheboro

RandolphUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 17 March 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 154 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 14 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 22 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 6:54PM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

Urban PEI: 198,761 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

16 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)55 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.89/1
Coordinates35.6000, -79.8000
Nearest CityAsheboro (12 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)198.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-03-16T22:54:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9158b348e59adcfbc34e09ad30ead1e6

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-03-16T22:54:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-03-16T22:58:54.524Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

65
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventTornado Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescCamden, NC; Chowan, NC; Currituck, NC; Pasquotank, NC; Perquimans, NC; City of Chesapeake, VA; City of Norfolk, VA; City of Portsmouth, VA; City of Virginia Beach, VA; Beaufort, NC; Carteret, NC; Craven, NC; Dare, NC; Hyde, NC; Jones, NC; Onslow, NC; Pamlico, NC; Tyrrell, NC; Washington, NC; Alligator River; Pamlico Sound; Pamlico and Pungo Rivers; Neuse and Bay Rivers; S of Currituck Beach Light NC to Oregon Inlet NC out to 20 nm; S of Oregon Inlet NC to Cape Hatteras NC out to 20 nm; S of Cape Hatteras NC to Ocracoke Inlet NC out to 20 nm; S of Ocracoke Inlet NC to Cape Lookout NC out to 20 nm; S of Cape Lookout NC to Surf City NC out to 20 nm; Albemarle Sound; Croatan and Roanoke Sounds
HeadlineTornado Watch issued March 16 at 6:54PM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-03-16T20:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9158b348e59adcfbc34e09ad30ead1e670a68a0d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ae710a23266d053b10744327f406d10eb0b29dc4.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ae710a23266d053b10744327f406d10eb0b29dc4.003.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City2 SSE Kernersville
Iem CountyForsyth
Iem StateNC
Iem WfoRAH
Iem RemarkLarge tree blown down on power lines and partially blocking southbound lanes of NC 66.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_35.800_-79.490_1773698220000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773698220000,"latitude":35.8,"longitude":-79.49},{"id":"iem_G_36.100_-79.950_1773696420000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773696420000,"latitude":36.1,"longitude":-79.95},{"id":"iem_D_35.420_-79.590_1773697200000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773697200000,"latitude":35.42,"longitude":-79.59},{"id":"iem_D_35.800_-79.340_1773698760000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773698760000,"latitude":35.8,"longitude":-79.34},{"id":"iem_D_35.760_-79.440_1773694620000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773694620000,"latitude":35.76,"longitude":-79.44},{"id":"iem_D_35.600_-79.500_1773697800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773697800000,"latitude":35.6,"longitude":-79.5},{"id":"iem_D_35.480_-80.240_1773694440000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773694440000,"latitude":35.48,"longitude":-80.24},{"id":"iem_D_35.070_-79.490_1773697680000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773697680000,"latitude":35.07,"longitude":-79.49},{"id":"iem_G_36.050_-79.470_1773698340000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773698340000,"latitude":36.05,"longitude":-79.47},{"id":"iem_D_35.400_-80.240_1773694320000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773694320000,"latitude":35.4,"longitude":-80.24},{"id":"iem_D_35.310_-80.200_1773694380000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773694380000,"latitude":35.31,"longitude":-80.2},{"id":"iem_D_35.210_-79.630_1773696900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773696900000,"latitude":35.21,"longitude":-79.63},{"id":"iem_D_35.780_-79.530_1773697920000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773697920000,"latitude":35.78,"longitude":-79.53},{"id":"iem_D_35.440_-80.150_1773694800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773694800000,"latitude":35.44,"longitude":-80.15},{"id":"iem_D_36.090_-80.060_1773695940000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773695940000,"latitude":36.09,"longitude":-80.06}]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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