Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 55

Severe Weather near Lake Wales

PolkUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 64 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 19 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 8:35AM EDT until March 16 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

An estimated 237,811 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)55 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates27.7000, -81.7000
Nearest CityLake Wales (25 km)
Population Exposed237.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-03-16T12:35:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.acfd9b98799285f4bcfa5f2b83b784ed

Score Breakdown

65
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescDixie, FL; Franklin, FL; Gadsden, FL; Gulf, FL; Jefferson, FL; Lafayette, FL; Leon, FL; Liberty, FL; Madison, FL; Taylor, FL; Wakulla, FL; Baker, GA; Ben Hill, GA; Berrien, GA; Brooks, GA; Colquitt, GA; Cook, GA; Decatur, GA; Dougherty, GA; Grady, GA; Irwin, GA; Lanier, GA; Lee, GA; Lowndes, GA; Miller, GA; Mitchell, GA; Thomas, GA; Tift, GA; Turner, GA; Worth, GA; Columbia, FL; Gilchrist, FL; Hamilton, FL; Suwannee, FL; Appling, GA; Atkinson, GA; Bacon, GA; Brantley, GA; Clinch, GA; Coffee, GA; Echols, GA; Jeff Davis, GA; Pierce, GA; Ware, GA; Wayne, GA
HeadlineTornado Watch issued March 16 at 8:35AM EDT until March 16 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
Expires2026-03-16T14:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tallahassee FL
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.acfd9b98799285f4bcfa5f2b83b784eda4cd9879.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f564460cc80a1b1294bac20a0de9282e8c54c75f.001.1"]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.