Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 51

Severe Weather in United States

AutaugaUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 92 recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 March 2026 — 52 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 27 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 5:39AM CDT until March 16 at 9:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

An estimated 70,253 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 9 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 14 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 51 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)51 / 100
Our confidence88%
Coordinates32.7000, -86.7000
Nearest CityPrattville (35 km)
Population Exposed70.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-03-16T10:39:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d20da91af7d88eea356c8bd0a012abf3

Score Breakdown

65
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescBaldwin, AL; Covington, AL; Escambia, AL; Escambia, FL; Okaloosa, FL; Santa Rosa, FL; Barbour, AL; Bullock, AL; Lee, AL; Macon, AL; Pike, AL; Russell, AL; Coffee, AL; Dale, AL; Geneva, AL; Henry, AL; Houston, AL; Bay, FL; Calhoun, FL; Holmes, FL; Jackson, FL; Walton, FL; Washington, FL; Calhoun, GA; Clay, GA; Early, GA; Quitman, GA; Randolph, GA; Seminole, GA; Terrell, GA
HeadlineTornado Watch issued March 16 at 5:39AM CDT until March 16 at 9:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL
Expires2026-03-16T09:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Mobile AL
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d20da91af7d88eea356c8bd0a012abf3dfc3a517.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1e4e9d246a4aec4510497e36cd6c46a6ed762287.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ee8c1f287454259584b7dac7f7e6583ebd58098.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc Location3 SW Martin Dam
Spc CountyElmore
Spc StateAL
Spc CommentsTrees down on Red Hill Rd. (BMX)
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City3 S Jordan Dam
Iem CountyElmore
Iem StateAL

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 51/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.