This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 22:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 33 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 2 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 4:57PM CDT until March 15 at 5:45PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- March 15, 2026 · score 46 · 9.9 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 63 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 63% |
| Coordinates | 36.9518, -91.0140 |
| Nearest City | Poplar Bluff (59 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T21:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado-Warning_noaa_urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_c1702d007d571d2f6fb8bfa50f15913a |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Carter, MO; Ripley, MO; Oregon, MO; Shannon, MO |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 4:57PM CDT until March 15 at 5:45PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T17:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c1702d007d571d2f6fb8bfa50f15913a891e6f42.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4ca2ca555c737ac2e71a3fd3ddb0cee6a380533f.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 3 WNW Brandsville |
| Iem County | Howell |
| Iem State | MO |
| Iem Wfo | SGF |
| Iem Remark | Report of wind damage at West Plains Racetrack. Time estimated from radar. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_36.670_-91.740_1773610200000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773610200000,"latitude":36.67,"longitude":-91.74}] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.