This alert expired on 20 July 2026 at 05:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 21st strongest of the 64 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tropical Storm Watch issued July 19 at 5:01PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
An estimated 237,811 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 29, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 27.7000, -81.7000 |
| Nearest City | Lake Wales (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 237.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-19T21:01:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tropical Storm Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9e01241a8c8a52e58830900f965a49ac |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tropical Storm Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | St. Andrews Bay Waterways; Coastal waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Mexico Beach out 20 NM; Coastal Waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola out 20 NM; Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out to 20 Nm; Pensacola Bay Area including Santa Rosa Sound; Western Choctawhatchee Bay; Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay; Coastal waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Pensacola FL out 20 NM; Waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Tropical Storm Watch issued July 19 at 5:01PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL |
| Expires | 2026-07-20T01:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tallahassee FL |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9e01241a8c8a52e58830900f965a49ac7c27f33f.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dceabe21a34c21739ba9ef12909e83e98fe76af9.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During a tropical cyclone: shelter in a sturdy interior room away from windows. Stock emergency supplies including water, food, medications, and flashlights. Do not venture outdoors during the eye of the storm. After passage, beware of downed power lines, flooding, and structural damage. Follow official guidance for evacuation and shelter.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.