Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 39 · v1

Severe Weather near Santa Rosa Beach

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 14 km from here.

This alert expired on 20 July 2026 at 05:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 4th strongest of the 55 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tropical Storm Watch issued July 19 at 4:53PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

Urban PEI: 90,901 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates30.2204, -86.0911
Nearest CitySanta Rosa Beach (24 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)90.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-19T20:53:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tropical Storm Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a48d2a10fc1f66c2a341aa9d6ff4b315

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-19T20:53:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-19T20:54:33.105Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventTropical Storm Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescCoastal Bay; Coastal Franklin; Coastal Gulf and 4 more areas
HeadlineTropical Storm Watch issued July 19 at 4:53PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL
Expires2026-07-20T01:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tallahassee FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount7
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a48d2a10fc1f66c2a341aa9d6ff4b3155caa5082.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a48d2a10fc1f66c2a341aa9d6ff4b3155caa5082.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a48d2a10fc1f66c2a341aa9d6ff4b3155caa5082.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a48d2a10fc1f66c2a341aa9d6ff4b3155caa5082.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.69755b1b7a81527e093e0a7329b67aee07ddc304.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.69755b1b7a81527e093e0a7329b67aee07ddc304.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.69755b1b7a81527e093e0a7329b67aee07ddc304.001.1"]

Safety Information

During a tropical cyclone: shelter in a sturdy interior room away from windows. Stock emergency supplies including water, food, medications, and flashlights. Do not venture outdoors during the eye of the storm. After passage, beware of downed power lines, flooding, and structural damage. Follow official guidance for evacuation and shelter.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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