Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 15 March 2026 at 06:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 33 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued March 14 at 7:57PM EDT until March 15 at 1:52AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 26,780 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- March 13, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
- March 12, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 78% |
| Coordinates | 43.9429, -75.6514 |
| Nearest City | Watertown (21 km) |
| Population Exposed | 26.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-14T23:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn-oid-2_49_0_1_840_0_031fcd40c8d06786ed90a91e3412e83c4067db09_001_1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Jefferson, NY; Lewis, NY |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued March 14 at 7:57PM EDT until March 15 at 1:52AM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T02:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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