Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 10 minutes ago, and this point is in it.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert is in force until 20 September 2026, 02:00 UTC.
It is the 44th strongest of the 58 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued September 19 at 8:57AM CDT until September 21 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
Urban PEI: 24,196 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- September 18, 2026 · score 28 · 0.0 km
- June 29, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
- June 28, 2026 · score 34 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.82/1 |
| Coordinates | 35.2114, -91.2414 |
| Nearest City | Searcy (45 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 24.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-19T13:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.099f9d9e723d287a2752c03c3ef9fef2d48b7cee.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-19T13:57:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-19T14:01:10.242Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-09-19T15:17:39.709Z · data_change
Index 28 → 28; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Jackson, AR; Woodruff, AR |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued September 19 at 8:57AM CDT until September 21 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR |
| Expires | 2026-09-19T21:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Little Rock AR |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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