This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 06:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 5 recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 May 2026 — 2 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 10 July 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 15 at 1:21AM EDT until July 15 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 424,857 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 14 May 2026
- July 10, 2026 · score 43 · 6.0 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 43 · 13.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 26.3664, -82.2218 |
| Nearest City | Iona (31 km) |
| Population Exposed | 424.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-15T05:21:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0bd3761d902880f8b81008cd346c017c0aae1496.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound; Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM; Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 15 at 1:21AM EDT until July 15 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-07-15T02:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.