Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 26 minutes ago, and this point is in it.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 20 km from here.
This alert is in force until 11 September 2026, 09:45 UTC.
It is the 45th strongest of the 54 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 22 August 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 11 at 1:41AM CDT until September 11 at 4:45AM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
An estimated 101,807 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- June 13, 2026 · score 43 · 9.6 km
- March 15, 2026 · score 67 · 15.1 km
- September 11, 2026 · score 37 · 20.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 36.0265, -90.9947 |
| Nearest City | Jonesboro (34 km) |
| Population Exposed | 101.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-11T06:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.104b07bc5ec662ca2d258b31dc3d57e8b02ce70e.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Independence, AR; Jackson, AR; Lawrence, AR; Randolph, AR; Sharp, AR |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 11 at 1:41AM CDT until September 11 at 4:45AM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR |
| Expires | 2026-09-11T04:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Little Rock AR |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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