This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 23:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 18 recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 April 2026 — 5 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 3 July 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 4 at 4:07PM EDT until July 4 at 7:15PM EDT by NWS Binghamton NY
An estimated 220,822 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 1 April 2026
- June 11, 2026 · score 37 · 7.6 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 84 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 84% |
| Coordinates | 42.8700, -76.6089 |
| Nearest City | Auburn (7 km) |
| Population Exposed | 220.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-04T20:07:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.12585a5264f82dcc3b4643731b89f1737ff7c8ad.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Cayuga, NY; Onondaga, NY; Seneca, NY |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 4 at 4:07PM EDT until July 4 at 7:15PM EDT by NWS Binghamton NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-04T19:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Binghamton NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 1 E New Hope |
| Iem County | Cayuga |
| Iem State | NY |
| Iem Wfo | BGM |
| Iem Remark | Tree down on Carver Road. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_42.800_-76.330_1783195080000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783195080000,"latitude":42.8,"longitude":-76.33}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Auburn?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Auburn (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.