Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 9 May 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 108 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 77 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 8 May 2026. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 9 at 3:40PM EDT until May 9 at 4:15PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
An estimated 310,869 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 1.7 km
- May 9, 2026 · score 43 · 1.8 km
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 2.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 29.4291, -81.1555 |
| Nearest City | Palm Coast (18 km) |
| Population Exposed | 310.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-09T19:40:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.144ff679196c84c3563776e162750c9ba976bc12.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Flagler, FL |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 9 at 3:40PM EDT until May 9 at 4:15PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-09T16:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Jacksonville FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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