This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 01:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 118 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 12 others scored the same.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:41PM CDT until March 15 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 11, 2026 · score 34 · 11.9 km
- June 12, 2026 · score 16 · 13.5 km
- June 21, 2026 · score 46 · 14.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 63 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 63% |
| Coordinates | 38.9983, -88.2917 |
| Nearest City | Mattoon (54 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T00:41:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.173b0c1376d722d30fe87b09e1bed75a4d2a7384.002.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Jasper, IL |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:41PM CDT until March 15 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T20:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lincoln IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 60 |
| Spc Location | Sullivan |
| Spc County | Moultrie |
| Spc State | IL |
| Spc Comments | Estimated winds at least 50-60 mph. Video shared via social media. (ILX) |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"spc_wind_39.60_-88.61_44","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1773622130171,"latitude":39.6,"longitude":-88.61}] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.