This alert expired on 12 June 2026 at 08:01 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 23 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026 — 8 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued June 12 at 3:51AM EDT until June 12 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
An estimated 117,846 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- June 11, 2026 · score 37 · 2.6 km
- May 9, 2026 · score 34 · 4.2 km
- June 26, 2026 · score 43 · 5.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 42.0660, -80.6800 |
| Nearest City | Ashtabula (24 km) |
| Population Exposed | 117.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-12T07:51:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.182148e2ab8f018ce0b25a0760904d4bce6d74b2.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued June 12 at 3:51AM EDT until June 12 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH |
| Expires | 2026-06-12T04:01:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Cleveland OH |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Ashtabula?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Ashtabula (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.