This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 20:53 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 40 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 July 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 15 at 1:43PM MST until July 15 at 1:45PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
An estimated 325,387 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 11 July 2026
- August 10, 2026 · score 43 · 6.3 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 43 · 6.6 km
- July 28, 2026 · score 43 · 11.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 31.4300, -111.0357 |
| Nearest City | Rio Rico (7 km) |
| Population Exposed | 325.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-15T20:43:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1e03d27af71e8b18b28ab10991b2b7c4c1ddb811.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Santa Cruz, AZ |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 15 at 1:43PM MST until July 15 at 1:45PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ |
| Expires | 2026-07-15T13:53:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tucson AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Rio Rico?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Rio Rico (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.