Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 10 May 2026 at 00:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 156 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 23 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 9 at 8:31PM EDT until May 9 at 8:45PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA
An estimated 214,833 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 23 March 2026
- May 10, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- May 9, 2026 · score 43 · 5.7 km
- June 20, 2026 · score 43 · 9.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 79% |
| Coordinates | 41.0936, -80.2364 |
| Nearest City | New Castle (14 km) |
| Population Exposed | 214.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-10T00:31:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20c1c71d558486b011d0665345671537826dce7b.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lawrence, PA; Mercer, PA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 9 at 8:31PM EDT until May 9 at 8:45PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA |
| Expires | 2026-05-09T20:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Pittsburgh PA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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