This alert expired on 10 July 2026 at 04:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 33 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 4 July 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 9 at 10:49PM EDT until July 10 at 12:45AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH
An estimated 834,657 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 4, 2026 · score 48 · 5.2 km
- June 14, 2026 · score 48 · 5.9 km
- May 9, 2026 · score 48 · 6.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 41.8142, -81.3942 |
| Nearest City | Painesville (16 km) |
| Population Exposed | 834.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-10T02:49:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.214ed991f2e0e7581e42f33544616f75e194c9bb.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Avon Point to Willowick OH; Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 9 at 10:49PM EDT until July 10 at 12:45AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH |
| Expires | 2026-07-10T00:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Cleveland OH |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Painesville?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Painesville (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.