Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 28 May 2026 at 01:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 46 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued May 27 at 3:50PM EDT until May 27 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS Greenville-Spartanburg SC
An estimated 93,110 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 27, 2026 · score 39 · 0.0 km
- July 20, 2026 · score 39 · 13.5 km
- August 3, 2026 · score 39 · 13.6 km
How we know
Confirmed by 5 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 39 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 89% |
| Coordinates | 36.0867, -81.4993 |
| Nearest City | Lenoir (20 km) |
| Population Exposed | 93.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-27T19:50:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.22a22a3d85d072b9a71650f03ca49a41dc528e24.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Caldwell, NC |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued May 27 at 3:50PM EDT until May 27 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS Greenville-Spartanburg SC |
| Expires | 2026-05-27T21:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Greenville-Spartanburg SC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| Iem TypeSummary | F |
| Iem City | 4 NNE Patterson |
| Iem County | Caldwell |
| Iem State | NC |
| Iem Wfo | GSP |
| Iem Remark | Water rapidly rising and large debris flowing from Buffalo Creek along Buffalo Cove Rd at Lick Log Ln. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_36.030_-80.910_1779912600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779912600000,"latitude":36.03,"longitude":-80.91},{"id":"iem_D_36.000_-80.850_1779912600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779912600000,"latitude":36,"longitude":-80.85},{"id":"iem_D_36.000_-80.850_1779913200000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779913200000,"latitude":36,"longitude":-80.85},{"id":"iem_F_36.040_-81.520_1779914580000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779914580000,"latitude":36.04,"longitude":-81.52}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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