Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCS: 40 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 24 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 29 June 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 23rd strongest of the 191 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 20 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued June 29 at 4:38PM CDT until June 29 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Duluth MN

Urban PEI: 16,788 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

5 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)40 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.89/1
Coordinates46.0000, -94.3000
Nearest CitySartell (43 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)16.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-29T21:38:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.25815edacc4e456ca57991c839c1b3622c9e240f.004.1

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-29T21:38:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-29T22:58:53.610Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescChequamegon Bay-Bayfield to Oak Point WI; Port Wing to Sand Island WI; Sand Island to Bayfield WI; Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI; Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland; Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand Portage MN beyond 5NM
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Watch issued June 29 at 4:38PM CDT until June 29 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Duluth MN
Expires2026-06-29T18:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Duluth MN
HasExactCoordsfalse
Spc ReportTypehail
Spc Speed150
Spc Location2 NW Glory
Spc CountyAitkin
Spc StateMN
Spc CommentsMostly quarter size but a few up to 1.5 inches. (DLH)
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude46
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City4 NE Brainerd
Iem CountyCrow Wing
Iem StateMN

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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