This alert expired on 17 March 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 64 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 19 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 12 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 5:03PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 237,811 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 29, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | high |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 55 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 78% |
| Coordinates | 27.7000, -81.7000 |
| Nearest City | Lake Wales (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 237.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T21:03:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.268f5f9fe53ab13cae77ea840e94634e1371524a.003.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Hernando, FL; Pasco, FL; Sumter, FL |
| Headline | Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 5:03PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T20:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | false |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.