Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 41 · v5

Severe Weather near Casas Adobes

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 8 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

9 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 17 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 29th strongest of the 97 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 June 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 16 at 6:13PM MST until September 16 at 6:45PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ

Urban PEI: 833,614 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 15 June 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 41 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)41 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.86/1
Coordinates32.3800, -111.0760
Nearest CityCasas Adobes (10 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)833.6K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-17T01:13:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.28e05276ef18ded5c70d78c4f166753081ff2a77.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-17T01:13:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-17T01:14:44.282Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescPima, AZ
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued September 16 at 6:13PM MST until September 16 at 6:45PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Expires2026-09-16T18:45:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Tucson AZ
HasExactCoordstrue
Iem TypeSummaryR
Iem Magnitude0.74
Iem UnitInch
Iem City11 SSE Picture Rocks
Iem CountyPima
Iem StateAZ
Iem WfoTWC
Iem Remark0.74 inches in 20 mins.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_R_32.330_-111.030_1789607460000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1789607460000,"latitude":32.33,"longitude":-111.03},{"id":"iem_R_32.200_-111.170_1789606680000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1789606680000,"latitude":32.2,"longitude":-111.17}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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