Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 32

Severe Weather near Prescott Valley

YavapaiUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 3 km from here.

This alert expired on 13 September 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 13th strongest of the 24 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 June 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 1:24PM MST until September 13 at 4:30PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ

An estimated 84,096 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 14 June 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates34.3864, -112.1786
Nearest CityPrescott Valley (28 km)
Population Exposed84.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-13T20:24:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.2a0986dd3b647d901c0addae1a2beb8fe1363ea3.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescYavapai, AZ
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 1:24PM MST until September 13 at 4:30PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
Expires2026-09-13T16:30:00-07:00
SenderNameNWS Flagstaff AZ
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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